Miami-Florida Hurricanes over Louisville Cardinals: Louisv comes in as a road favorite ranked #8. That in itself has them over valued. Louisv just defeated at home N.Car in OT. Mi-Flor is coming off 2 bad losses and I am expecting a reversal of trends on both accounts.
Virginia Cavaliers over Duke Blue Devils: Predictably the money has been coming in on Duke lowering the line so we can get value on Virg. Prime time game two top 5 teams the joint is going to be rocking.
Duquesne Dukes over George Mason Patriots: Neither one of these teams are playing very good and both are in a rebuilding year. However at this line the home team has the value. After 2 blowout losses Duq returns home causing this line to be lower than it should be. GM is only 1 game better than Duq to begin with s/u.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Miami-Florida Hurricanes: Again we have a game with a big spread and a low total making these points a mountain to overcome. Mi is just 2-5-1 ATS at home. GT is not a very good team but they are strong rebounders and that will help them stay within this number.
Xavier Musketeers over Georgetown Hoyas: First of all you have a home ranked team playing a unranked visitor. You also have the home team playing for “revenge” Both of those issues have the home team overpriced. Xav has the 22nd best offense and when their outside shoots are falling they are very tough to beat. That has led to Xav being inconsistent. When they are cold they are cold however for this matchup I am willing to risk they will be falling.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies over Cleveland St. Vikings: Oak has a big dichotomy between home and away and that is relevant for tonight’s game. Oak is 7-3 at home 1-9 on the road s/u.
Vanderbilt Commodores over Louisiana State Tigers: Vandy has lost 4 in a row and ae 1-4 in conf play. This has this line on the home team lower than it should be. If you look under the hood Vandy has played very tough comp they lead the SEC in FG% and are second in 3 point shooting.
Air Force Falcons over San Diego St. Aztecs: Anytime you can take this many points back at home in a conf game you need to take a long look. Anytime you can take back this many points on a game with a total this low you have to take a long look.
Tennessee Volunteers over South Carolina Gamecocks: Why should this line be any higher than home court advantage? It should not we get value therefore we bet. Tenn is 3-1 in conf play SC is 1-3.
Wyoming Cowboys over Fresno St. Bulldogs: Wyo takes a step down in class after their first conf loss to Sdst. Wyo has a very good FG% and is 3rd in scoring def.