Boise St. Broncos over Dayton Flyers: Another play in game and these 2 teams statistically are about as close as you can get. The market is making a big deal because Day is playing virtually a home game giving us some points to create value. I fully expect this game s/u to be in doubt down to the final possession.
BYU Cougars over Mississippi Rebels: Both teams are fairly close as is reflected by the line especially on a neutral court. However given current form and the offensive advantage BYU has in this match up the value is with the cougars. This figures to be a high scoring game and that also plays to the adv of BYU.
Central Michigan Chippewas over Buffalo Bulls: These 2 teams are as even as we get. Both were 13-6 in conf play. CM beat Buff both times. At home by 11 on the road by 1. Now at a neutral site we can get points that provides us with value.
Temple Owls over SMU Mustangs: These 2 teams are fairly close. Both teams played well down the stretch. This game is however far more important to Tem than it is to SMU. I expect this game to be low scoring making the points offered more attractive.
Oklahoma State Cowboys over Oklahoma Sooners: Neutral site game ranked team vs. unranked. At conf tourney time you will always a premium for this type of matchup so the value is with Okl St. If you look inside the numbers you will see state is not that far a gap from OKl to begin with. Okl is in the dance state needs a good showing as they would be considered a bubble team. Needing to win and winning is much different and a team needing to win is not reason to bet them.
Northwestern Wildcats over Indiana Hoosiers: Nwestern has nothing to lose just playing out the string. In fact they just finished beating Ind at home on 02/25 72-65 as a 2.5 point dog. Now at a neutral site where the crowd will be mainly pro Nwestern we get more points. That has us in play with value.
Seton Hall Pirates over Marquette Golden Eagles: Both teams are limping down the stretch at 2-8 s/u in their last 10. Marq is just a bad team. They work on defense but on offense they are really challenged nothing comes easy.
North Dakota Fighting Sioux over Northern Colorado Bears: For those of you that follow me regularly know I like under the radar games. We get one here in the Big Sky. I also like ugly dogs and we also get one here with ND. So we get 2 items in the same game.
Utah Utes over Arizona Wildcats: We get to take Ut at home in Salt Lake City laying a bucket where Ut is 16-0 and 12-3 ATS. Their avg margin of victory over 25 points. Yes this will be their toughest opponent at home to date however we still get value with this low line.
Wofford Terriers over Mercer Bears: Mercer is the higher profile program and that along with some misleading stats has this line lower than it should be. Woff has played a much more difficult schedule.