Archived Picks



Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills: Looks like a windy wet game day for Buff in a game that will likely be low scoring. Phil presents a buy low opportunity. Consecutive road losses to Minn and than Sun night to Dall as Phil had 4 turnovers. Buff is 5-1 straight up but always risky laying points with weak offenses. Buff has played the 31st ranked strength of schedule only NE has played an easier SOS. I have this game at 1.5 giving us excellent value.  

New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators

New York Islanders over Ottawa Senators: After a slow start the Nyi have won 5 in a row. Couple of factors with this line lower than it should be. Nyi played last night at home winning 4-2 over Ariz. Secondly they will go with back up Greiss who is not much of a drop off if any over Varlamov. Next Ott won their last home game 5-2 vs. a depleted Det team. I have this game at 1.57 giving us excellent value. 

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49er's

Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49er’s: Car lost their first 2 of the year and has now won 4 in a row since Allen has taken over at QB. Allen has not been spectacular but he has ben steady and he has not thrown an interception. When you have a potential MVP in McCaffrey that obviously helps. Car provides an excellent pass rush and they are 2nd in the league for sacks. SF has injuries along the offensive line and this will be an issue throughout the game. Garoppolo has ben OK but nothing great as the SF rush attack has been excellent.

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants

New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals: Ariz has won 2 in a row over Cinci and Atl who are a combined 1-11. Nyg have extra rest/prep off a Thurs night loss to NE. Barkley is expected to return and go up against a 26th ranked rush defense of Ariz. Although CB Peterson will return for Ariz they are the only team to not have an interception yet. Nyg has played the 12th strength of schedule while Ariz comes in at 26th. Ariz travels east with an early start. I have this game at 4.5 giving us excellent value. 

Northern Illinois Huskies vs Miami Ohio Redhawks

Northern Illinois Huskies #363 over Miami Ohio Redhawks: We successfully played on N.Ill last week stating they are an undervalued team and they remain so this week. N.Ill was good last year and this team is not much different than 2018. Mi Oh has a decent defense but they will simply not be able to keep pace in this one given their offense is bad. The path to beating N.Ill is to pass the ball on their weak secondary but Mi Oh has no pass offense. I made the line 4.0 giving us excellent value.

Charlotte 49er's vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Charlotte 49ers #411 over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: The market has really been impressed with W. Kent and rightfully so. However that has inflated the price on this game. W.Kent offense is OK but to be spotting this much wth a total this low is always a challenge. CHarl is a decent team with balance on offense. They should be able to create enough offense to stay well within this number. I have this game at 7.5 giving us excellent value. 

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

New York Jets over New England Patriots: Divisional road game spotting double digits on Monday night football. That sums up the Patriots where you always pay a premium if you bet on this team given their success and reputation. No the return of Darnold does not turn the Nyj into a contender. However it does give them a spark and renewed energy especially off last weeks win over Dall. We will get a full effort out of Nyj for this game in prime time. The back door should remain wide open if necessary.

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars over New Orleans Saints: The No stock is high with wins over Sea, Dall and Tb. No has Chic up next so they could get caught looking ahead. Bridgewater had a good game against Tb but their pass defense is ranked last. Jax lost lat week in Car with a -3 turnover margin. Look for a heavy dose of Fournette which should open up play action for Minshew. I have this game at 3.5 giving us excellent value.

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