Free NFL Picks

Houston Texans over Atlanta Falcons: The debut of coach O’Brien got off to a tough start. We get a favorable line with Houst at home based on last week’s results. Houst lost on the road to Ariz 32-0. Atl was at home beating Mia 16-10.

Cleveland Browns over Detroit Lions: New coach in Clev and he is going to want to get off to a good start. Yes Caldwell is new as well in Det but a veteran he could care less about this game. Stafford may play a series or 2. Johnson may not play at all.

Buffalo Bills over Carolina Panthers: Buff already has 1 game under their belt and this gives them an adv heading into this game that is not fully factored into this line. Secondly Buff underachieved last year with injuries to the QB spot while Car overachieved. Car I anticipate will take a step back this year still a very good defense but the offense will likely be mediocre. Tonight after Newton who may or may not play max 2 series as he continues to recover from surgery on his left ankle.

Indianapolis Colts over New York Jets: Anytime in week 1 there is a spread of over 3 there better be a very good reason. In this case there is not and actually just the opposite.

Seattle Seahawks over Denver Broncos: It does not look like weather will be much of a factor. I will not go into a huge analysis for this game simply because everything that can and will be said is out there. #1 offense MVP QB vs. the #1 defense. Big advantage for Den at the QB position. Will Sea be able to put pressure on Manning will Sea be able to control the ball keep Manning off the field with Lynch running.

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New England Patriots over Denver Broncos: All the hype is Brady vs. Manning. The reality is the winner of this game will be determined by what defense can get the odd stop and get off the field. Look for NE like they did against Indi to go with Blount and a power running game to control the clock and keep Manning off the field.

Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49er’s: Two very evenly matched hot similar teams. Both teams have big mobile QB’s, both teams like to move the ball on the ground and most importantly both teams are backed by very strong defenses. On Nov 10 as a 6 point dog Car went into SF and beat them 10-9. Granted Crabtree did not play and Davis went out early.

New England Patriots over Indianapolis Colts: The perception is NE has taken a step back and perhaps they have but they still went 8-0 s/u and 6-2 ats at home.

New Orleans Saints over Philadelphia Eagles: As with most games people want to focus on 1 item hang on to it and when enough do so pushing the line to a point it has no business being we get value. In this case it is the lack of success for NO on the road and in cold weather. Who cares? It does not mean a thing for THIS game that NO has never won a road playoff games in their history.

Washington Redskins over Dallas Cowboys: How Dall reacts to blowing that 26-3 lead at home to GB last week who knows. What we do know all the pressure is on Dall as they still try and make the playoffs. For Wash and their last home game of the year this is their super bowl and a chance to knock of their rival Dall.