Free NFL Picks

Carolina Panthers over Philadelphia Eagles: Sanchez will be at the help for Phil and getting this many points with him at QB is value. Sanchez looked good in a brief relief appearance last week but starting on a Monday night is a different animal. Phil also lost their top tackler Ryans.

Baltimore Ravens over Tennessee Titans: Not often over the course of the season you will see me spot this wood but in this game it is warranted. Perception is Jack or Oak is the worst team Tenn may have both of them beat. Mettenberger makes his first road start and this is the wrong place and wrong team to do it against.

Cincinnati Bengals over Cleveland Browns: Since losing center Mack the Clev running game has dried up. When you cannot run the ball or stop the run you are in big trouble. Clev recent results have them overvalued given they have played such weak competition. Clev will have to travel on a short week.

San Diego Chargers over Miami Dolphins: We get a beneficial line because of recent results. SD has lost 2 in a row however that was to KC and Den now they take a step down in class. Mia is 3-1 in their last 4 but those wins have come against teams with a combined record of 4-19.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Minnesota Vikings: Hold your nose when you watch this game 2 bad teams. Who cares if there is value and a way to make money that is all that matters. Minn will play its’ 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Bridgewater first 2 games were Ok now there is tape on him and he is clearly not NFL ready.

Pittsburgh Steelers over Houston Texans: It has many many years since Pitts has fallen out of favor with the betting public however that is what we have tonight. The line is simply home field indicating these 2 teams are equal. Not in my books.

Kansas City Chiefs over San Diego Chargers: On the surface this seems like a small price to lay on the home team. It is not and the value is with the visitors. Kc comes off a bye. The Sd 5-1 record is a bit misleading the level of competition they have played vs. what Kc has played is substantially different.

Detroit Lions over New Orleans Saints: This play is a reputation vs. reality situation. NO is 0-3 s/u on the road so far this year. They still have a prolific offense lead by Brees. However it is just not the same without Sproles and they are expected to be without TE Graham for this one. Det has definitely taken a step back in regard to their offense. Part of that can be explained with the absence of Johnson who will miss again this week Bush is expected to return which will help with ball control keeping the No offense on the sidelines.

New York Giants over Philadelphia Eagles: I was down on NYG to start the year and in pre-season as they were adapting to a new offensive co-ord. To say things have turned around would be an understatement.

Pittsburgh Steelers over Cleveland Browns: Pitts already beat Clev at home 30-27. That score is flattering to Clev given Pitts had a 27-3 lead and let up. Last week we were on Tenn and Clev fell behind 28-3 before Locker got hurt. Clev comes back and wins the game 29-28. The above creates the value in the line for this week.