Free NFL Picks

Atlanta Falcons over New York Giants: This line is simply an overreaction to last week’s results. Everyone was writing off the NYG for this year. Now 2 wins in a row and they are this big a favorite at home against the #1 offense in the league. I do not think so.

Tennessee Titans over Cleveland Browns: I get to fade Clev on the road spotting less than home field adv against anyone not named Jacksonville count me in. No Tenn is nothing to boast about however they have played a tough schedule to date.

San Francisco 49er’s over Philadelphia Eagles: In betting sports generally speaking when everyone is jumping on a team you want to get off. When everyone is jumping off down on a team that is when you want to jump on whenever possible. That is how you acquire value. This is the case for this game. SF was 1-2 last year as well. Granted I do not think they will be as good as last year but for today we get value.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Pittsburgh Steelers: This will be a defining game for TB. No they are not very good but after being embarrassed on national TV 56-14 against ATL 10 days ago I am expecting a big effort. I do not have them winning this game but t would not surprise me if this game is in doubt until late in the 4th quarter. Worst case the back door will be wide open.

Carolina Panthers over Baltimore Ravens: This line is simply an overreaction to the results of last week. Car was losing at home to Pitts. Pitts ran the ball huge over Car. An uncharacteristic oddity for the Car defense. Regardless Balt is down to their 3rd string RB so how well they will be able to run the ball is debateable anyway.

Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears: Gb has not looked sharp especially on offense the first 3 games. There are issues on the offensive line. However that just has them undervalued for today.

Washington Redskins over New York Giants: Based on the line which has Wash at home but nothing more these 2 teams are even. I do not buy it and so we have value and I will buy Wash at a cheap price. Yes it is early in the year but Cousins is an upgrade to RG3 and he is performing much better than Manning.

New York Jets over Chicago Bears: The NYJ are not going to be a very good team this year. They have a horrible pass defense and a weak QB in Smith. Having said that this is a horrible spot for Chic and NYJ match up well against this team. Chic look awful in their home opener in Buff than surprised everybody in prime time Sunday night winning in SF after trailing by 21.

Seattle Seahawks over Denver Broncos: Has anything changed from last year’s Super Bowl. Both teams still have very good offenses. Sea still has the best defense in the NFL while Den is mediocre at best.

Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts: Tough to make a case for Jack they are again this year the worst team in the NFL so I will not this play is about going against the Colts. One thing Jack does do well is sack the QB and Indi has a weak offensive line.