Archived Picks



Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Submitted by rsteel on

Los Angeles Rams over Seattle Seahawks: Goff is so inconsistent but at this price and the lack of Sea pass rush we should get the good Goff. We get a buy low opportunity with Lar in a bounce back situation off the embarrassing loss to Nyj. Sea is still being priced like when they were rolling earlier in the year. This team especially the offense has regressed badly since focusing more on the run. I rate the offenses equal but the Lar have a substantial adv on defense. Sea is ranked 26th overall defensively while Lar are ranked 1st.

San Francisco 49er's vs Arizona Cardinals

Submitted by rsteel on

Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49er’s: This time of year throw the narratives of teams NEED to win and that team will NOT try have given up. #1 just because a team needs to win does not mean they will or more importantly cover. Secondly they are all professionals getting paid lots of money playing for next years contracts. They are all trying. Having said all this a team out of it that falls behind in a game have trouble finding the energy to fight back. Also individual players prep work depending on the players suffers. Which brings us to this game.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Submitted by rsteel on

Denver Nuggets over Los Angeles Clippers: Lac were busy beating the Lal opening night raising their stock once again. A deeper dive Lac at 1 point blew a 22 point lead. Excuse the Lal for being distracted as they got their rings. Den at home in OT really blew a game losing by 2 to Sac. Murray had an off night. Adding to the narrative is Lac wanting revenge for their playoff series loss in the bubble to Den. Lac may win and cover tonight but it will not be a result of revenge. Den with the altitude is always a tough place to play.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Submitted by rsteel on

Phoenix Suns over Dallas Mavericks: We rode the Phx train long and hard through the bubble and it was very profitable. We will jump back on them for game 1. Dall will be without Porzingis but obviously Doncic is very special MVP in waiting. However he has admittedly not arrived in the best of shape. I will give the edge on the bench to Dall with the Phx injuries. However Dall remains a weak defensive team. Phx made 2 very good acquisitions.  Veteran leadership and toughness exactly what they needed to go along with their young talent. Specifically Paul and Crowder.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Submitted by rsteel on

Kansas City Chiefs over New Orleans Saints: This is not so much a fade on NO asa play on with Kc. NO obviously has the adv on defense and NO will be able to move the ball with the run game and short passing. However the question becomes will they be able to keep up with Kc? Kc has issues on the offensive line so I expect Mahomes will need to use his mobility and scrambling which is when he is at his best anyway. I do not expect Brees to be at his best and he will also be without his #1 receiver Thomas. Kc has been a bankroll burner all year.

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Submitted by rsteel on

Cleveland Browns over Baltimore Ravens: It is a must win for Balt in their drive to the playoffs and that has the line inflated along with the fact to start the season Balt beat Clev 38-6. Both items have no impact on the result for tonight. Like Pitts who wore down in the 2nd half last night for Balt this will be their 3rd game in 13 days. Balt offense got on track last game but big deal that was Dall. These 2 teams mirror each other both strong run games both good at stopping the run. I made this game pick-em giving us excellent value.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Submitted by rsteel on

Buffalo Bills over Pittsburgh Steelers: Pitts is off their 1st loss so there goes the undefeated season. Is this a bounce back spot or a let down we will see? Crowd or no crowd Buff is a tough place to play. Pitts def is very good ranked 3rd overall but they will likely be without 4 LB’s Spillane, Williams, Dupree and Bush. Secondly their stats have come against some very weak offenses. The Buff offense may be the best they have seen. This will be the 3rd game in 11 days for Pitts.

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Submitted by rsteel on

Los Angeles Rams over New England Patriots: Give Goff time to throw he can be an effective passer. Lar are Top 5 in offense and defense. Ne has little balance on offense. Ne is 30th ranked in passing 3rd in rushing. Lar are excellent at stopping the run. In addition if Ne falls behind how do they come back through the air? Ne last 2 wins against Ariz (we lost that game) they had 84 yards Lac they had 69 yards while most of the points for Ne came from special teams. The name reputation of Ne and Belichick have this line lower than it should be.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Submitted by rsteel on

Atlanta Falcons over New Orleans Saints: Atl has played much better especially on defense since Quinn was fired. T Armstead, DE Davenport, CB Jenkins allout for N.O. as of now. Lastly we get Ryan over Hill at Qb while getting points. Hill is not a good QB. He is unique but not a QB. In addition this will be the 2nd time in 3 weeks Atl will face him. I made this game a pick giving us excellent value.

Washington Football Team vs Dallas Cowboys

Submitted by rsteel on

Dallas Cowboys over Washington Football Team: 2 3-7 teams with the winner taking over first place LOL. Dall starting to move with a big road win over Minn. Dalton returned Elliot ran the ball well. No the Dall defense is not good but they are getting healthier and are at least being competitive. They will face a 28th ranked Wash offense with Smith at Qb. Now Wash must travel on a short week to face a fired up Dall team. If not for Burrow getting hurt on Sun it could have been a home loss for Wash. Wash has played the 30th ranked SOS Dall has played 13th.

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