Dallas Cowboys over Chicago Bears: A rare Thursday night game which we will bet. Both teams played on Thanksgiving Day so rest and prep should not be an issue. Both teams are disappointments. Chic point to Trubisky for Dall with all their talent point to Garret. Obviously Precott over Trubisky is a big adv Dall. The Chic defense is good but so is Dall. Dall stock is down giving us a buy low opportunity. Dall has a strong pass rush which should force Trubisky into some errors. Chic is 3-1 in thie last 4 but that was against Det twice without Stafford and the Nyg.
Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions: Short week travel for Chic but this is a familiar opponent so prep time should be fine. It is always risky to lay points especially on the road with Trubisky and Chic. However Chic still has a chance to make the playoffs. The Det defense not good to begin with has cluster injures not fully incorporated in this line. Now QB Driskel has been limited in practice with a hamstring injury. The 3rd stringer Blough was undrafted out of Purdue if they need to go there. Driskel is not good to begin with and the Chic defense is still very formidable.
Denver Broncos over Buffalo Bills: Valiant effort by Den on the road vs. a very good Minn team. Allen is looking more and more comfortable with the offense in Den especially good chemistry with Sutton. Den has played the 4th ranked strength of schedule Buff comes in at 32nd. In fact Buff 7 wins have come against teams a combined 15-55. Both teams try and establish the run and have trouble throwing. Look for a fast moving low scoring grind it out type of game. Buff has Dall on tap Thurs. I priced this game at 3.0 giving us excellent value.
Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers: Give SF full marks. However they have played the 29th ranked strength of schedule. The only win for SF against a 500+ team was the Rams who were struggling at the time. Gb has played the 10th ranked strength of schedule. Gb is off a bye and a chance for the defense to gwt heathier as they have underperformed so far this year. Gb is 3-0 vs. top 10 teams while Sf is 1-1. I am expecting Gb to be able to put some heat on Garoppolo and force him into a few bad throws as he has 10 picks on the year.
Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts: Houst was embarrassed last week at Balt so likely a good thing they are able to get right back on the field on a short week. Add to this Indi beat Houst at home 10/20 30-23 and we can see why there is value in the line. Indi travels on a short week with RB Mack out and WR Hilton a game time decision. Indi has played the 24th strength of schedule HOust comes in at #5. I made this game 4.5 giving us excellent value.
Carolina Panthers over Atlanta Falcons: Atl with a surprising win on the road last week in New Orleans. This is still a very bad team that caught NO flat. Now Atl will be without TE Hooper and RB Freeman. So much of Atl stats have been generated I garbage time as most games this year they have fallen behind big early on. Car battled Gb right until the end on the road last week. If Car has aspirations of getting into the playoffs they cannot take this visitor lightly. Look for Car to chew up yards on the ground and short passes to McCaffery.
Houston Texans over Baltimore Ravens: Houst is off their bye. They get back WR Fuller and a healthier secondary. Let’s take nothing away from Jackson he is having an excellent year but Watson is a better passer. The Balt hype train is in full mode creating a sell high opportunity. Houst is every bit as good as Balt. HOust has played the 10th ranked strength of schedule while Balt comes in at 28th. Both teams are going to be able to move the ball in what will likely be a high scoring game. Houst can win this game outright with the points offered a substantial cushion.
Los Angeles Rams over Pittsburgh Steelers: Lar are off their bye. They are also getting healthy with the exception of WR Cooks they will get LB Matthews back for this one. Lar have under performed so far this year but with the acquisition of Ramsey they obviously have the focus on making a deep run. Pitts was fortunate last week escaping with a 26-24 win over Indi after the missed FG. QB Rudolph is a game manager at best. Check down after check down the deep ball is not his strength.
Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers: Now it is well known Lac have little to no home field adv. However add to this Gb fans travel well this game the crowd will be more pro Gb than Lac. Market is expecting a possible let down from Sun night for Gb after defeating Kc on the road I am not buying it. Gb also gets stud receiver Adams back for this one. Lac will have some success throwing the ball but their offensive line continues to be an issue fir immobile Rivers and their run game is non-existent.
Carolina Panthers over Tennessee Titans: Car stock has taken a tumble off their bye they were humiliated in Sf and cost many including us they were never in the game. They return home to face Tenn in a bounce back situation. We will buy low. Tenn could easily be on a 4 game losing streak and 2-6 s/u. What would the line be for this game if that were the case after 2 very fortunate wins against Lac and Tb. Tannehill is getting lots of props he is steady but not about to win a game with his throwing. I priced this game at 4.5 giving us excellent value.